It’s been a fantastic 10 days or so for holders of Rockhopper, tipped by the Blog when all around the super information highway were crumbling! We told investors that the stock was trading wholly under-value the shorters and knockers were out in force emailing us with all kinds of loonertick comments. Funny how when any stock rises that’s been tipped by this Blog those same fools vanish into thin air! Keep your eyes on all the Falkland explorers as today’s news should have a knock on effect. For those of you who doubted that ROCKHOPPER are the best of the bunch exploring the South Atlantic take a read of this;
Volumes listed above are within Rockhopper’s 100% owned acreage. Not included in the high case listed above, based upon the current interpretation, the Company believes that up to approximately 10% additional volume could be contained within licence PL004, in which Rockhopper has a non-operated 7.5% working interest.
During 2011 the Company acquired a total of over 4000km2 of 3D seismic data in conjunction with other operators in the area. Data over the southern portion of licences PL032 and PL033 has been fast track processed and an initial interpretation has now been completed. This initial interpretation, combined with well data from 14/10-2, 14/10-3, 14/10-4, 14/10-5 and 14/10-6, indicates that the SLMC comprises two fan lobes sourced from the same main feeder channel just to the east of the 14/10-5 and 14/10-2 wells. The two lobes, represented as sand packages within the wells, are identified as the SL20 and SL10 units, and, from the formation pressure data acquired in the wells, are shown to be in pressure communication. The two packages together comprise the SLMC and are interpreted to comprise of mass flow turbidite sand sequences prograding from the sand input point to the east and extending beyond the southern boundary of licence PL032 into licence PL004, where Rockhopper has a non-operated 7.5% working interest. The Company believes that recovery rates of 30% to 40% could be achievable using industry standard production techniques including water injection, artificial lift, deviated or horizontal wells and /or other enhanced oil recovery techniques.
Should a recovery factor of 30% be achieved, based upon the Company’s mid case area, the SLMC would contain approximately 325mmbbls recoverable oil. Should a recovery factor of 40% be achieved, the mid case number would increase to 434mmbbls recoverable oil.
The fast track seismic interpretation has enabled the identification of two new feeders into the basin and the mapping of two new prospects, Casper and Kermit. Both of these comprise similar fan systems fed from eastern basin margin feeder channels and exhibit similar seismic character to the SLMC. Casper is stratigraphically shallower than the SLMC while Kermit is stratigraphically deeper than the SLMC. Following well 14/10-6 the Company believes that the B15 sand, which forms part of the lower fan complex, has the potential to contain up to 161 mmbbls STOIIP on a high case basis. Formation pressure testing indicates that B15 is also in communication with the SLMC.
Fan prospects currently mapped on the Company’s acreage are now SLMC, Lower Fan (B sands), Chatham, Casper and Kermit. In addition to the SLMC, management interpretation of potential in place resources across the other fan prospects within the licence is set out below:
All mmbbls STOIIP
|Lower Fan (B15)||100||130||161|
*data from RPS Energy Competent Persons Report, April 2009. The balance of the newly acquired 3D seismic data is still being processed and the Company expects it will be available for interpretation before the end of 2011.
Future Drilling Plans. Following completion of drilling operations on well 14/10-6, the Company is currently committed to drill three further wells using the Ocean Guardian drilling unit. The Company is discussing the possibility of drilling additional wells under an assignment agreement.
The Company intends to drill the next well 3.3km north west of the 14/10-2 discovery well. The second well in the sequence is currently planned to be located approximately 4.1 km to the south south east of the 14/10-2 discovery well. The third well in the sequence is currently planned to be located approximately 5.5km south west of the 14/10-2 discovery well. The second and third locations are subject to change depending upon drilling results and technical work and are subject to gaining the relevant regulatory consents. The Company currently intends to wait for the result of well 14/10-7 before deciding whether to take any additional drilling slots. Estimates of in place and prospective resource information are based upon wells drilled to date and could alter with future well results. Once the Company completes its current drilling campaign, all estimated potential in place resource estimates will be further refined.
Operations continue at the 14/10-6 location and a further announcement will be made once 14/10-7 has been spudded.
NOW THAT’S WHAT I CALL AN EXCELLENY RESULT for all those who kept faith!
Ask your-self this question; If we were not in the midst of a Global meltdown what price ROCKHOPPER?
Answer? 650p minimum so says a contact of mine at Citi.
- 14/10-6 Appraisal Well Rockhopper News! (brokermandaniel.com)